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The Stockout Report
Weekly out-of-stock intelligence across Home Depot, Wayfair, Amazon, Walmart, and Flipkart — including stockout heatmaps, category patterns, and predictive risk scores.
This Week: The Patio Season Stockout Wave
The predictable annual pattern arrived on schedule. Based on our Real-time stock availability scraping pipeline, between April 28 and May 4, 2026, outdoor and patio furniture stockouts jumped 78% week-over-week across Home Depot and Wayfair — a 5-week early warning that this year's patio season will be tighter than last year.
Brands that read the signal now have a 3-week window to protect inventory positions.
The Weekly Stockout Heatmap
| Category | Home Depot | Wayfair | Amazon | Est. Weekly Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patio Conversation Sets | 18 SKUs | 11 SKUs | 6 SKUs | $284,000 |
| Outdoor Dining Sets | 14 SKUs | 8 SKUs | 4 SKUs | $192,000 |
| Grills & BBQ | 9 SKUs | N/A | 11 SKUs | $168,000 |
| Sectional Sofas | 2 SKUs | 22 SKUs | 5 SKUs | $310,000 |
| Office Chairs | 3 SKUs | 18 SKUs | 14 SKUs | $142,000 |
| Storage Cabinets | 4 SKUs | 12 SKUs | 7 SKUs | $88,000 |
Three Stockout Signals to Watch
Predictive Risk Score Rising for Grills
Our 48-hour stockout probability model is flagging 34 grill SKUs on Amazon with >85% probability of going out of stock by Wednesday. Category velocity has spiked 42% week-over-week — Memorial Day pull-forward is starting earlier than usual this year.
Wayfair Sectional Color Variants Are Diverging
Interesting variant-level pattern: navy blue and emerald green sectional variants are stocking out 2.8x faster than charcoal and grey variants across Wayfair's top 40 sectional SKUs. This is a clear signal for merchandising and manufacturing allocation — the color mix that's actually selling isn't the mix most brands are producing.
Office Chairs — Post-Pandemic Reversal
Office chair stockouts on Wayfair and Amazon are up 61% versus the same week in 2025 — a reversal of last year's oversupply. Return-to-office momentum plus the small business hiring cycle is driving unexpected demand. If you're a category manager, this deserves same-week attention.
This Week's Predictive Alerts
Our predictive model — trained on 18 months of stockout history plus real-time velocity — is generating high-confidence stockout risk alerts for the coming 72 hours. Top 5 SKUs at risk:
Top 5 SKUs at Stockout Risk (Next 72 Hours)
- Outdoor Chaise Lounge (Home Depot, top brand)92% risk · 48h
- 6-Piece Patio Set (Wayfair, mid-tier brand)89% risk · 48h
- Standing Desk Converter (Amazon, popular brand)87% risk · 72h
- Gas Grill 4-Burner (Home Depot, premium brand)84% risk · 48h
- L-Shape Sectional (Wayfair, DTC brand)81% risk · 72h
Competitor Stockout Opportunities This Week
The flip side of stockouts: your competitors' out-of-stock windows are your market share opportunities. This week's biggest competitor stockout events (available for full detail in the paid tier):
Competitor A — Flagship Patio Set
Out of stock on Home Depot — 4-day window active. Buy box lost since Sunday.
Competitor B — Bestseller Sectional
Out of stock on Wayfair — 6-day window projected. Category-1 opportunity for market share capture.
Competitor C — Top Office Chair
Out of stock on Amazon — Buy box lost since Tuesday. Paid search budget reallocation recommended.
What This Means for Your Brand
- If you sell patio or outdoor furniture: The season is tighter than last year. Emergency replenishment plans should be validated this week, not next.
- If you sell office furniture: Return-to-office demand is real. Update your Q3 forecast — POS-driven projections are almost certainly under-projecting.
- If you have competitor stockout alerts active: This week has genuine capture opportunities. Paid search and sponsored placement budgets should be reallocated.